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Calibration Dojo

Train probabilistic intuition. Binary forecasting questions at any confidence level; track Brier score + reliability curve over time. Browser-only. Free.

Inputs
Paste + configure
Runtime
1–15 s
Privacy
Client-side · no upload
API key
Not required
Methodology
Open →

Education · Not investment advice. BaFin/EU framework. Past performance does not indicate future results. Editorial standards Sponsor disclosure Corrections

Brier score

Lower is better · perfect calibration = 0.000 · uniform random 50% = 0.250

Resolution:  ·  0 answered  ·  stored locally only

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Reliability curve

Dot size ∝ number of answers in that decile. Diagonal = perfect calibration.

History persists in your browser's localStorage only.

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Planning estimates only — not financial, tax, or investment advice.